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Race-by-race guide and tips for Canterbury on Wednesday


How to play it: Captain Stardust WIN; Box Quinella 1,2,4.
Odds & Evens: EVENS.


2. Island Missile finally finds conditions to suit him, a dry track and a cosy barrier and now we get to see what he’s got in the tank this prep. Super first-up then not bad from a wide gate and again drew wide on heavy tracks and gave away impossible starts. More than good enough to win this.

Dangers: 3. Seeingisbelieving now has three wins and four seconds from seven runs this preparation and while drawn the outside his on pace style will see him take care of that gate quickly. Had his chance in similar race last start but only narrowly beaten and he will be in the finish again. 1. Monasterio probably leads them as he did over the mile at Warwick Farm last week. Didn’t settle all that well there but backing up is a good sign. If left alone he could take plenty of catching. 5. Snippetspeed was prominent all the way at 2200m last week and battled on well. Coming back 300m probably helps and once again he’s drawn nicely. Only has to hold his form to be somewhere in the finish.

How to play it: Island Missile WIN.
Odds & Evens: SPLIT.


14. Colada appeals at a bit of odds first-up as a gelding off a very nice late closing trial. He had excuses at his last two starts before a spell and was favourite in a very strong maiden at Rosehill in February when stuck wide. A good each-way chance fresh.

Dangers: 4. Rome can be forgiven for failing on a heavy 10 before a break and his past two first-up runs would have him right in the mix of this with placings at Group 3 level. Only trial this prep was sound, he has gate one and is a logical threat. 7. Bellarine is an interesting first starter from the Waller camp who has won her past two trials, with a gap in between, impressively from on the speed. Market some guide to her but a cheeky debut wouldn’t shock. 2. Mo’s Crown should have beaten True Detective on debut then clearly didn’t handle the heavy in the Pago Pago in March. Won his latest trial well and the only negative here is the outside gate. Good enough to win this if he gets the breaks.

How to play it: Colada E/W; Box trifecta 2,4,7,14.
Odds & Evens: EVENS.

Race 4 – 3.10PM TAB HANDICAP (1580 METRES)

2. Moana Jewel looks ideally placed to atone for a luckless second in a similar race two weeks ago. Bailed up three back on the fence to the turn then had to concede a couple of lengths to get clear before she charged to miss by half a length. Senior rider on and is very hard to beat.

Dangers: 3. Monegal finished a close third in the same race as Moana Jewel and meets her better at the weights, but that said the second horse should have beaten her by much further. She has gate one and the claim and is a consistent mare so she’s one of the main chances again. 4. Positive Peace has regained some consistency at the provincials of late and she’ll press forward to get onto the speed again here. If she happens to be allowed to dictate she can give a sight. 1. Seles was placed behind Phaistos and Cinquedea two starts back the ran on without threatening at Rosehill. Back a notch in grade and on the run two back she has to be respected.

How to play it: Moana Jewel WIN; Trifecta 2/1,3,4/1,3,4.
Odds & Evens: SPLIT.


2. Metamorphic doesn’t handle a heavy track so to be beaten 4.6 lengths in a much stronger race last start is a solid effort. Loves Canterbury and should have won here first-up, finds a race with enough tempo on paper to give him his chance and has Hugh Bowman to steer.

Dangers: 5. Adana is probably the best horse in the race but not sure how it sets up for him at 1250m. Bumped into Vegadaze fresh last time in at 1400m then went into Group races. Trial was on the synthetic and was fine but keep an eye on betting for the major pointer. 4. Superbowl Sunday led throughout to a clear win when resuming at Kembla and while up in class he is a progressive type who likes to lead and he’ll have plenty of time to get across from the fairest starting point at Canterbury. No surprise if he’s hard to run down. 12. Havin’ Fun finished alongside Mandela at Randwick last start which isn’t bad form and she beat a subsequent winner here at her second start. Takes on all comers which will be a test but drawn to sit handy and have her chance if she’s good enough.

How to play it: Metamorphic E/W.
Odds & Evens: SPLIT.


7. God Of Thunder has promised to be a good horse and now he’s been gelded we’ll find out. Drawn wide but has the speed to go forward if that’s the tactics and loved his trial when a closing second at Rosehill last month. Needs to do everything right but this race is his if he does.

Dangers: 1. Bombarding was beaten out of sight when resuming on a heavy track where he drew wide and wasn’t able to get near the lead. Previous good track form is more than good enough to suggest he can improve sharply as his trials suggest he could. 2. Roosevelt is another back after being gelded so all eyes will be on how he performs. His trial behind Sylvia’s Mother was okay without being awesome though his form as a colt was patchy. A bit like God Of Thunder he can win this if he gets it right. 8. Military Academy rarely runs a bad race and that was the case last time in with six top three finishes from eight runs. Trialled twice and finds James McDonald for this race. Well worth including.

How to play it: God Of Thunder WIN; Trifecta 7/1,2,8/1,2,8.
Odds & Evens: SPLIT.


3. Flying Pierro made his run in the inferior ground last start so he didn’t do such a bad job running into fourth in a similar race to this. He was a drifter there but drawn two and gains Hugh Bowman so expecting him to be much harder to beat this time.

Dangers: 10. Aristograts made his run with Flying Pierro and was just edged out for fourth in that race so he has to be given plenty of respect. He was a $41 chance there but both recent runs have been good so he’s a contender. 4. McMahon finished ahead of both my top two last start but he had all the favours following the fence which was the place to be. Race will probably pan out differently for him from a wide gate but it looks the right form line so he’s in the mix. 1. Silent Explorer dictated to win here two back then no match in a stronger event at Rosehill after leading. There’s some chance he could get control here and if he does that makes him capable of winning.

How to play it: Flying Pierro E/W.
Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Best bets

Race 4: (2) Moana Jewel

Race 6: (7) God Of Thunder

Best value – Race 3: (14) Colada

Tips supplied by Racing NSW.

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