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Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in Pennsylvania

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A new poll shows former Vice President Joe Bidengif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw== - Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in PennsylvaniaJoe Robinette BidenThe historic battle between Congress and White House Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in Pennsylvania Harris: Biden ‘would be a great running mate’ MORE has opened up a big lead over President Trumpgif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw== - Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in PennsylvaniaDonald John TrumpThe historic battle between Congress and White House Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in Pennsylvania Harris: Biden ‘would be a great running mate’ MORE in Pennsylvania, a Rust Belt battleground state that will play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of the 2020 election.

A state-level survey by Quinnipiac University finds Biden at 53 percent and Trump at 42 percent in a head-to-head match-up in Pennsylvania.

Trump has a narrow 4 point advantage among male respondents, but Biden holds a 24 point lead among women — 60 percent to 36 percent. Among white voters, Biden leads 49 percent to 45 percent, but he leads among nonwhite voters by a whopping 70 percent to 27 percent.

Trump and Biden pulled at least 90 percent support from within their own parties, while the former vice president held a 14 point advantage among independents, leading 51 percent to 37 percent.

“More than half of Pennsylvania voters say they are better off financially than they were in 2016,” said Mary Snow, the polling analyst for Quinnipiac University. “But the economy isn’t giving President Donald Trump an edge in an early read of the very trial Keystone State.”

Trump edged out Democratic nominee Hillary Clintongif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw== - Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in PennsylvaniaHillary Diane Rodham ClintonThe Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by Pass USMCA Coalition – After GOP infighting, Trump Jr. agrees to testify again Don’t tell Marianne Williamson she can’t win 3 Florida radio stations to broadcast Trump speeches every hour until 2020 election MORE in Pennsylvania by less than 1 point in 2016, making him the first GOP presidential nominee to carry the state since 1988.

Trump also won in two other traditionally blue states — Michigan and Wisconsin — that have made up the Democratic “blue wall” in the Rust Belt and Midwest.

Those three states will be a central focus for both parties in the 2020 general election. Biden, who is from Scranton, Pa., held his first campaign rally in Pennsylvania last month at a union hall.

Sen. Bernie Sandersgif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw== - Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in PennsylvaniaBernard (Bernie) SandersSome Dems hesitant to support Biden over Iraq War vote: poll The Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by Pass USMCA Coalition – After GOP infighting, Trump Jr. agrees to testify again Don’t tell Marianne Williamson she can’t win MORE (I-Vt.) also leads in a head-to-head matchup against Trump in Pennsylvania, 50 percent to 43 percent.

Sen. Elizabeth Warrengif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw== - Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in PennsylvaniaElizabeth Ann WarrenPoll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in Pennsylvania Warren to bank regulator who found her question insulting: ‘Good’ Harris invokes ‘Handmaid’s Tale’ after Alabama lawmakers pass abortion law MORE (D-Mass.) held a smaller lead over the president, 47 percent to 44 percent. Sen. Kamala Harrisgif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw== - Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in PennsylvaniaKamala Devi HarrisPoll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in Pennsylvania Harris: Biden ‘would be a great running mate’ Harris ‘open’ to adding seats to Supreme Court MORE (D-Calif.) and Trump split in their hypothetical head-to-head contest, at 45 percent each.

Trump is essentially running even with former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieggif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw== - Poll: Biden leads Trump by double digits in PennsylvaniaPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegThe Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by Pass USMCA Coalition – After GOP infighting, Trump Jr. agrees to testify again Don’t tell Marianne Williamson she can’t win The Memo: 2020 Dems line up for Maddow primary MORE (D).

Trump’s approval rating is deep underwater in Pennsylvania — 54 percent of respondents disapprove of him while 42 percent support him.

White voters are evenly divided over the job Trump has done, but nonwhite voters disapprove by a margin of 74 percent to 23 percent. A slim majority of men approve of Trump’s job performance while 62 percent of women disapprove.

Still, 54 percent of voters in the state say they’re better off financially than they were in 2016. Only 21 percent said they are worse off. Seventy-one percent of Pennsylvanians describe the economy as “excellent” or “good.”

The Quinnipiac University survey of 978 Pennsylvania voters was conducted May 9-14 and has a 4.2 percentage point margin of error.



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