Few people are giving Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone a chance to pull an upset victory over Conor McGregor on Saturday in Las Vegas at UFC 246.
Cerrone is a +250 underdog heading into the fight which means bettors would have to wager $250 just to win $100. It’s easy to see why Cerrone is the underdog. Despite the fact McGregor is facing possible Octagon rust having not competed since 2018, and having not captured a victory since 2016, he’s still the younger man at 31 compared to Cerrone who is 36.
Also, Cerrone is on a two-fight losing streak with stoppage defeats coming at the hands of Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje in 2019. Stylistically, Cerrone prefers to brawl and it would seem McGregor would have the advantage in a pure stand-up bout. That said, McGregor hasn’t proven to have true KO power at welterweight, so we’ll see if his striking prowess is as significant as it has been at featherweight and lightweight.
McGregor had two fights with Nate Diaz at 170 pounds and split the contests 1-1, and he is without a stoppage win at the weight.
Let’s look at two of the other sizable underdogs heading into UFC 246.
At +600, Roxanne Modafferi is the biggest underdog on the card. She is facing undefeated, rising star Maycee Barber. The latter is looking to make a huge statement as she positions herself for a future title shot at flyweight.
At this point in Modafferi’s career, she is a gatekeeper of sorts. She is coming off a unanimous-decision loss to Jennifer Maia in July, and has alternated wins since making her UFC debut in December 2017.
Modafferi is 37 years old and her realistic chances of winning a world title are likely gone. At this point, she is competing as a spoiler whose experience and grappling prowess might test Barber, but shouldn’t prevail.
As a +260 underdog, you could make the argument Drew Dober is the most disrespected fighter on the card. He is facing the largely unproven 24-year-old Nasrat Haqparast, but is still a sizable underdog despite having 17 more professional fights, and UFC tenure that dates back to 2013.
Dober is also coming off a highlight-reel KO win over Marco Polo Reyes in his last fight. There is no question the 31-year-old has the physical skills to pull the upset, but big things are expected from Haqparast.
The Afghan striker fights with passion and looks to finish his opponents with strikes. This might be the Fight of the Night, and Dober is one to watch if you’re looking for an underdog to cash in on.